EUROPE'S HYDROGEN STRATEGY AFTER COMPETITION
Independent EU policy submission and reproducible research package

Michael Barnard | Chief Strategist, TFIE Strategy Inc.
Correspondence: michael@tfie.io

Publication release: v1.8.1 | 11 November 2026 packaging refresh
Python model: v1.8.0rc1 | Interactive dashboard: v0.45rc1

PUBLIC ACCESS
Dashboard and package-download control: https://tfie.io/euhydrogen
Stable public ZIP filename: TFIE_EU_Hydrogen_Research_Package.zip
After publication, the dashboard provides the Download research package (ZIP) control.
This archive's external filename remains stable as the underlying model and evidence evolve.

ASSETS INCLUDED
Europe_Hydrogen_Strategy_Submission_and_Technical_Annex.pdf
    Complete 18-page EU policy submission and technical annex. Includes all nine
    figures with captions and PDF accessibility descriptions, and five tables.
EU_Hydrogen_Evidence_and_Assumptions_Workbook.xlsx
    Eight-tab evidence and assumptions workbook: baseline, costs, scenario results,
    industrial and transport routes, parity comparisons and limitations.
EU_Hydrogen_Interactive_Scenario_Dashboard.html
    Self-contained offline interactive dashboard. Open locally in a web browser;
    the model works offline but the public ZIP-download button requires the website.
EU_Hydrogen_Reproducible_Python_Model.zip
    Reproducible Python model, model inputs, supporting datasets and tests.
    Extract this ZIP to use the model; Python 3.11 or newer is recommended.
RESEARCH_PACKAGE_FILE_MANIFEST.csv
    Byte sizes, SHA-256 digests and descriptive purposes of the four assets.
SHA256SUMS.txt
    SHA-256 digests of all package files except the checksum list itself.

All graphics are embedded in the submission PDF. Separate PNG graphics and their
intermediate source/description files are intentionally excluded to avoid duplicate
assets. The evidence workbook and Python model provide the research data.

INTERPRETATION
The research compares selected European industrial products and transport services
under Slow, Strong and Rapid scenarios, varying industrial process options,
qualified product imports, hydrogen prices and residual fuel services. This is a
competition-led economic sensitivity, not an EU-wide forecast or a current-law
RFNBO mandate-compliance assessment. Other-chemical physical hydrogen is included
in the main physical hydrogen consumption totals, not added afterward.

Strong/central scenario, physical EU hydrogen in Mt/year:
    2030: 6.184   2040: 4.191   2050: 1.887

The model and dashboard may be used for noncommercial policy, academic, public
consultation and teaching purposes with attribution and retention of substantive
caveats. Published modifications must be identified and cannot imply TFIE support.
Third-party rights, standalone branding and commercial republication are reserved.

The private EUSurvey response matrix, maintenance records, development history,
rollback archives and separate standalone figure files are not included.
